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Swing Analysis
Pete Kozma

Updated 12/18/2011

My "uncle" Chuck, despite being extremely loud and embarrassing, is a product of Princeton and, I gather as a result, does the best he can to be polite. His trademark display of politeness is, when he encounters shall we say an unusual looking baby, rather than speaking what is truly on his mind or lying, he instead offers the very non-committal phrase, "Now THAT's a baby!" The phrase, "Now THAT's a swing," comes to mind when I look at St. Louis Cardinals prospect Pete Kozma's swing. Let me explain why using some clips of Pete Kozma that I shot in late July 2010.

The Good

When I first looked at the clip below of Pete Kozma's swing, the thing that stood out to me was his excellent position at the Point Of Contact (POC).

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

First, Pete Kozma is in the classic Power L position at the POC. Second, Pete Kozma's lower body also looks good at the POC; his back leg is in the Power L position and his front leg is firm and extending. Finally, Pete Kozma also does a reasonably good job of getting to this position; rather than hitting around the ball, he stays quite compact and connected through the start of his swing

The Not So Good

One problem with Pete Kozma's swing became obvious when I tried to measure the length of his swing by counting the frames from the start of the swing to the POC. As you may recall, a good swing is 9 to 10 frames to contact.

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

Counting from the planting of his front heel in Frame 34 to the POC in Frame 42, you come up with 9 frames, which is quite good.

But there's a problem.

I always do my first frame count by counting frames from the planting of the front heel to the POC. I then confirm that frame count by taking a second pass and looking at when the hands and the bat head start moving around toward the ball relative to the frame in which the front heel plants. I do that to look for a swing flaw, that I call Jumping the Gun, that can be an indication of an overly long and top-down swing (which can lead to problems with AVG and power).

Well, as it turns out Pete Kozma jumps the gun quite a lot, and his hands and bat head move quite a bit before his front heel plants, and the video clip below shows one reason why.

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

As in golf, the concept of planes are quite important. It turns out that Pete Kozma has a problem with his planes at the start of his swing. That plane problem serves to lengthen his swing.

The thing to notice is how Pete Kozma's bat gets more vertical between Frame 10 and Frame 22, such that in Frame 22 his bat (the yellow line) is well above and out of the plane of his shoulders (the green line). As a result, he has to start his swing earlier in order to get the bat head closer to in plane in Frame 28.

The problem with starting the swing earlier is that it gives you less time to read the pitch and figure out what it is. As a result, that can leave you vulnerable to quality off-speed and breaking pitches.

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

To be clear, Pete Kozma's problem isn't that he gets his bat head moving. Both Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday do that as part of a move called a Running Start that can help them overcome inertia. The difference is that as they get close to the start of their swing, Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday are dropping the bat head down into plane. In contrast, as he gets close to the start of his swing, Pete Kozma is raising his bat head up out of plane.

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

As I was looking at some other clips of Pete Kozma's swing, and trying to confirm that what I was seeing was in fact a habit and not just a one-time adjustment, I noticed another inefficiency in Pete Kozma's swing that may be costing him power.

Pete Kozma's Swing

Pete Kozma

The thing to notice in the clip above, and in the other clips on this page, is how Pete Kozma, rather than keeping his back foot flat on the ground, instead quickly rolls onto the inner half of his back foot as he shifts his weight forward. This will tend to create power problems by reducing the force with which the hips rotate.

But Why?

When I see a hitter with the kinds of flaws that I see in Pete Kozma's swing, I always wonder if it's due to a problem with how they were taught to hit. As it turns out, I found the clip below, that was put together by Carlos Gomez and that shows Pete Kozma hitting in batting practice and in a game, shows that Pete Kozma has long had problems with his swing.

Video Clip of the Swing of Pete Kozma

Pete Kozma

The thing to notice is how extended Pete Kozma is at the Point Of Contact. While he is in a good position just before the Point Of Contact, Pete Kozma then extends and hits the ball well out front. While many people teach this, and you do it see in the swings of hitters like Aaron Miles...

Video Clip of the Swing of Aaron Miles

Aaron Miles

...you do not see it in the swings of the best hitters like Albert Pujols...

Video Clip of the Swing of Albert Pujols

Albert Pujols

Instead, the best hitters tend to let the ball travel and hit it closer to their bodies, which lets them swing with their entire bodies and not just their arms.

The Good News

The good news is that, despite all of the bad hitting instruction that Pete Kozma has received over the years, and all of his flaws, he doesn't have any glaring, hard to fix mechanical flaws. Instead, everything I am talking about is quite fixable and can usually be fixed relatively quickly. As a result, I believe with some hard work and well-directed practice Pete Kozma can get back on track and become the middle infielder that the Cardinals so desperately need.

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