Most people assume that there is
no way to predict whether a pitcher will be injured (or not)
and that there is nothing you can do to reduce the risk that a pitcher
will become injured.
They assume that it all comes down to luck.
I used to be one of those people.
However, over the past few years
I have begun to wonder whether
that is actually the case; whether it does in fact all come down
to luck or whether there are reasons why some pitchers get injured
and some don't.
As a result, I have begun to
analyze the motions and mechanics of
a number of professional pitchers and look for
patterns that might predict
whether a pitcher will be injured (or not). As part of the
process, I have also begun to test the
model that I am developing by making some
predictions about whether I
think certain young pitchers will — or will not — experience
significant injuries over the next few years.
The goal is to see whether I can
understand why certain pitchers experience certain injuries and
by making a few tweaks to the mechanics of pitchers, you can
significantly decrease the risk that a pitcher will be injured.
Stay tuned for my
In the meantime, I do
from people who have injured their
pitching arms. The more pitchers — and the more injuries — I see
the more certain I will be about the patterns and correlations
that I believe I am seeing.